Netflix Faces Investor Concerns Over Growth Metrics
In a move that has taken the market by surprise, Netflix has announced its decision to cease sharing data on subscriber additions and average revenue per member starting from 2025. This strategic pivot has sparked concerns among investors, with shares of the streaming giant falling by 6.5% in early trading. The phrase “Акции пионера потокового вещания упали на 6,5 % на ранних торгах, что привело к потенциальному падению рыночной стоимости более чем на миллиард” encapsulates the immediate financial impact of this announcement.
Wall Street analysts have been predicting a saturation point in subscriber growth for Netflix, particularly in North America and Europe. The lack of transparency resulting from the decision to withhold these key metrics has raised red flags for investors. Russ Mould, investment director at AJ Bell, emphasized the importance of transparency, noting that Netflix’s subscriber numbers have been a critical factor in its stock market performance.
Despite adding new customers in the first quarter, Netflix’s second-quarter revenue forecast fell short of market expectations. The company’s choice not to report subscriber additions and average revenue per member from the first quarter of 2025 has further fueled speculation about its growth potential. “Решение Netflix прекратить делиться информацией о приросте абонентов и средней выручке на одного пользователя с 2025 года вызвало опасения инвесторов, что рост на некоторых рынках достиг своего пика,” analysts commented.
The repercussions of Netflix’s stock decline also affected peers Roku and Walt Disney, whose shares dropped as well. This trend is not new to the tech industry; companies like Meta’s Facebook and other social platforms have previously ceased reporting monthly active users amidst slowing growth.
However, not all is grim for Netflix. The company’s ad-supported streaming plans have been successful in attracting new customers, with 9.3 million new sign-ups in the first quarter alone. This figure nearly doubles the consensus forecast of analysts polled by LSEG. With a global subscriber count of 269.6 million at the end of March, Netflix continues to hold a significant lead in the market.
Analysts now turn their attention to how Netflix will maintain low churn rates as competitors introduce more affordable plans. Sophie Lund-Yates, lead equity analyst at Hargreaves Lansdown, posed the critical question regarding Netflix’s strategy to keep subscribers engaged in the face of rising competition.
Despite the current concerns, some analysts remain optimistic about Netflix’s position in the market. Wedbush analyst Alicia Reese pointed out that competitors are likely to struggle to replicate Netflix’s business model, given its “insurmountable lead.”
As the landscape of streaming services evolves, Netflix’s forthcoming strategies and performance metrics will be closely monitored by investors and industry experts alike.